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5 Chapters · 85 Pages · July 2026
Rethinking Thailand’s Strategic Posture toward Myanmar (II): The Regional Layer
Don Pathan and Supalak Ganjanakhundee
Executive Summary
- Myanmar’s prolonged instability has evolved from an internal political crisis into a multidimensional regional security challenge affecting border security, transnational crime, humanitarian conditions, public health, environmental governance, and regional connectivity.
- No existing regional institution possesses the mandate, capacity, or political leverage to manage the full spectrum of transboundary risks generated by the Myanmar conflict.
- Thailand should therefore shift its strategic objective from attempting to influence Myanmar’s internal political trajectory toward managing the regional consequences of prolonged instability.
- Thailand should therefore shift its strategic objective from attempting to influence Myanmar’s internal political trajectory toward managing the regional consequences of prolonged instability.
- Achieving this objective requires a layered strategy that combines regional institutions, bilateral partnerships, and strengthened national coordination rather than relying on any single diplomatic framework.
- Thailand’s comparative advantage lies not in exercising formal regional leadership but in serving as a trusted regional risk coordinator, connecting institutions, partners, and practical cooperation while preserving ASEAN centrality and Thailand’s strategic autonomy.
Don Pathan and Supalak Ganjanakhundee
About Author
Research Overview
- Executive Summary
- Chapter I: Why Thailand Needs a Regional Layer
- Chapter II: What a Regional Layer Looks Like — Architecture, Mechanisms, and Priorities
- Chapter III: Thailand’s Bilateral Strategy toward Key External Powers
- Chapter IV: Strategic Recommendations and Action Plan Purpose
- Chapter V: Conclusion — Thailand’s Strategic Moment The Argument Assembled
Don Pathan and Supalak Ganjanakhundee
About Author
Research Overview
- Executive Summary
- Chapter I: Why Thailand Needs a Regional Layer
- Chapter II: What a Regional Layer Looks Like — Architecture, Mechanisms, and Priorities
- Chapter III: Thailand’s Bilateral Strategy toward Key External Powers
- Chapter IV: Strategic Recommendations and Action Plan Purpose
- Chapter V: Conclusion — Thailand’s Strategic Moment The Argument Assembled
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